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FOCIL Breakout #40, August 18, 2026

FOCIL Breakout issue #40 offers curated tech insights for founders.

Steady

16

signal score

as of 4d ago

Steady

7-day est. ~13

Why this scored 16

every term, weighted
Velocity+0.0 / 40 max

Engagement gained per hour since the last capture, against the fastest item on its own source

Acceleration+11.9 / 25 max

Whether that velocity is itself speeding up, as a per-hour rate

Cross-source spread+0.0 / 25 max

How many independent communities are talking about the same entity

Recency+5.8 / 10 max

Decays to zero over 14 days

Saturation penalty1.3 / 30 max

Subtracted once something is big and old — we rank what's next, not what's peaked

Composite16.4

Weights are hand-tuned, not learned — we're calibrating them against realized trends as history accumulates. On a topic's first sighting there's no previous reading to compare against, so acceleration starts from a neutral prior rather than a measurement, and velocity falls back to engagement over its whole lifetime until a second reading exists. Full methodology

Outlook

low confidence · estimate, not a guarantee

7-day

~13

range 025

14-day

~10

range 024

30-day

~2

range 021

Signal history

7-day window (free)

— — projected trajectory (estimate, not a guarantee)

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[![Signalcrest signal](https://www.signalcrest.app/api/badge/cgov%3Aethmag%3A29446)](https://www.signalcrest.app/topic/cgov%3Aethmag%3A29446)

Drop this in a README or blog post — it updates automatically as the score moves.